Richer and cleaner - at others' expense?
Working paper
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http://hdl.handle.net/11250/180665Utgivelsesdato
2006Metadata
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- Discussion Papers [1003]
Sammendrag
Abstract:
Pollution intensive production can be avoided domestically by increased imports and less exports of
dirty products. Such trade effects may imply more emissions abroad, or pollution leakages. We study
whether such leakages may contribute to the observed inverted relationship between emissions and
economic growth - the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). In our case, the rich, open Norwegian
economy, we find little evidence for the hypothesis that pollution leakages contribute to explain the
EKC. Despite an observed decoupling of emissions from economic growth over the past 20 years,
there was no increase in pollution leakages over this period. Rather, emissions related to export
increased far more than the foreign emissions embodied in import, implying reduced leakages. In
future projections, we find a lower degree of decoupling than in the past, but no corresponding
reductions in leakages. Instead, leakages increase. This conclusion is fairly invariant to assumptions
about future climate policy.
Utgiver
Statistics Norway, Research DepartmentSerie
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