Blar i Statistics Norway's Open Research Repository (SNORRe) på forfatter "Keilman, Nico"
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Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area
Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang (Discussion Papers;No. 386, Working paper, 2004)Abstract: We analyse empirical errors observed in historical population forecasts produced by statistical agencies in 14 European countries since 1950. The focus is on forecasts for three demographic variables: fertility ... -
Household Projections for Norway, 1990- 2020
Keilman, Nico; Brunborg, Helge (Rapporter;1995/21, Report, 1995) -
Hvor lenge kommer vi til å leve? : Levealder og aldersmønster for dødeligheten i Norge, 1900–2060
Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang (Journal article, 2005)Vi lever stadig lenger. Her presenteres en analyse av levealderen og aldersmønsteret i dødeligheten for norske menn og kvinner siden 1900. Vi har brukt den såkalte Lee-Cartermodellen for å kunne gi anslag på dødelighet ... -
Mortality shifts and mortality compression. The case of Norway, 1900-2060
Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang; Syse, Astri (Discussion Papers;No. 884, Working paper, 2018-09-13)The aim of the paper is to verify whether the projections predict a continuation of the ongoing compression in mortality and of the steady upward shift in the ages at which people die. Historically, official Norwegian ... -
Norway's Uncertain Demographic Future
Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang; Hetland, Arve (Sosiale og økonomiske studier;105, Book, 2001)The demographic future of any population is uncertain, but some of the many possible trajectories are more probable than others. Therefore, an exploration of the demographic future should include two elements: a range ... -
Pensjonskommisjonen bør ta usikkerhet i befolkningsutviklingen alvorlig
Keilman, Nico (Journal article, 2003-04)Pensjonskommisjonens utredning av et nytt pensjonssystem har naturlig nok et langsiktig perspektiv, faktisk helt frem til år 2050 og enda lenger. En viktig variabel i denne sammenheng er antall eldre. Men den foreløpige ... -
A probabilistic forecast of the immigrant population of Norway
Keilman, Nico (Discussion Paper;996, Working paper, 2023-01)We present a probabilistic forecast for the immigrant population of Norway and their Norwegian-born children (“second generation”) broken down by age, sex, and three types of country background: 1. West European countries ... -
Utvandring blant innvandrere 1975-1995
Tysse, Tone Ingrid; Keilman, Nico (Rapporter;1998/15, Research report, 1998-10)