Blar i Discussion Papers på forfatter "Keilman, Nico"
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Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area
Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang (Discussion Papers;No. 386, Working paper, 2004)Abstract: We analyse empirical errors observed in historical population forecasts produced by statistical agencies in 14 European countries since 1950. The focus is on forecasts for three demographic variables: fertility ... -
Mortality shifts and mortality compression. The case of Norway, 1900-2060
Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang; Syse, Astri (Discussion Papers;No. 884, Working paper, 2018-09-13)The aim of the paper is to verify whether the projections predict a continuation of the ongoing compression in mortality and of the steady upward shift in the ages at which people die. Historically, official Norwegian ... -
A probabilistic forecast of the immigrant population of Norway
Keilman, Nico (Discussion Paper;996, Working paper, 2023-01)We present a probabilistic forecast for the immigrant population of Norway and their Norwegian-born children (“second generation”) broken down by age, sex, and three types of country background: 1. West European countries ...